Who’s a tip Super Smash Bros. Melee actor streamer into Evo 2016?
July 8, 2016 - Super Smash Bros
By Daniel “Tafokints” Lee
We’re only a week out from Evo 2016, yet perplexing to collect a Super Smash Bros. Melee favorite streamer into a eventuality is formidable during best.
The events during WTFox 2, that wrapped adult on Jul 3, creates it even some-more confusing. In an peculiar method of events, Joseph “Mango” Marquez won a contest yet dropping a singular set, Adam “Armada” Lindgren noticeably struggled in bracket, and Juan “Hungrybox” Debiedma finished in fifth, his misfortune fixation this year.
Looking behind serve into 2016 doesn’t explain much. Armada finished 2015 with a well-deserved initial place on a annual SSBMRank, yet a opening between him and everybody else has shrunk considerably. Hungrybox has been widespread with 7 majors wins this year, Mango has been impossibly consistent, and Leffen has shown flashes of mass notwithstanding a ubiquitous miss of practice. Going into Evo 2016, how do a 4 best players in a universe smoke-stack up?
If we told me a year ago that Hungrybox would win 7 majors by Evo, we would have laughed in your face. Yet, here we are in July, and Hungrybox has been mostly unstoppable. Most players keep good annals given of their low representation distance and their hesitation to transport when they feel reduction than 100%, yet Hungrybox has trafficked to distant some-more events than anyone else and logs mixed wins over players that once gave him trouble. In fact, before to WTFox2 , he was undefeated opposite everybody next a Top 4 on a 2015 SSBMRank.
Table 1: Glicko Ratings (Aug 2015 – Present / Data pleasantness @moby_osman)
Quantitative measures also preference Hungrybox as a best of a bunch. Glicko ratings inspect a player’s compare story and assigns a predictive rating with some grade of variance. His coherence opposite a margin and altogether record opposite chosen talent has given him a slight corner over Armada. His stellar record, vast representation size, and vital wins are all sound arguments for putting him in initial even with a bad opening during WTFox 2.
Armada has trafficked to fewer events, mostly due to a fact that he lives in Europe, yet he’s outperformed Hungrybox in 3 out of 5 of them and has a improved head-to-head record. Sometimes, Armada’s value is taken for postulated given of how prolonged he’s been a stellar player. While Hungrybox has been extraordinary in 2016, Armada has achieved during that turn for years.
Considering how demure Smash fans were to mislay Mango from a bench final year, it’s also vicious to cruise how many work Armada has finished before handing a climax to Hungrybox. From a second half of 2015 to 2016, Armada won Evo 2015, The Big House 5, Genesis 3, and both Smash Summits. While Armada has underperformed (by his standards) in new tournaments, he has always shown adult during a events that matter a most.
Mango has been sneaking in a shadows with 7 second place finishes in 2016. It’s surprising to report him as “consistent,” however, generally when looking during his altogether career. His 2015 enclosed a 17th place finish during HTC Throwdown, among several other muted performances, yet his 2016 has been remarkable. It’s engaging to see how fast people forget that Mango was a complicated favorite during many events only dual years ago.
Table 2: The Big 4’s record opposite a margin (Sorted by SSBMRank 2015)
His altogether win-loss record is closely aligned with Armada’s and not too distant behind Hungrybox’s. His year has solemnly been heating up, too (Mango typically enjoys widespread summers). He started a year with a 2-6 set necessity to Hungrybox, yet has brought it to a many some-more vicious 5-8 and he now binds a tip palm opposite Armada with an considerable 5-2 set record, a extreme turnaround from his deplorable 2-7 set record opposite Armada in 2015.
The tip players mostly speak about how movement is vicious in next during vast events and Mango looks scarier than ever, generally after winning WTFox 2, where he didn’t dump a singular set. Granted, he did have an easier joint by not carrying to play Hungrybox, yet he decimated Armada in dual discerning sets.
People tend to impugn Mango, understandably, for some of his bad habits, yet he’s sensitively turn one of a world’s many well-rounded players. No one can take space and win skirmishes utterly as good as Mango, yet he’s also schooled when to rein in a aggression. Along with conspicuous improvements in his gameplans, he combined a Marth for situational counterpicks, that effectively destroys Armada’s Final Destination counterpick. With a large win during WTFox 2, Mango carries all of a movement going into Evo 2016.
Leffen is a biggest poser given of his tiny representation size.
He binds an considerable 4-1 record in head-to-head matchups with a tip 4 players (Table 2), yet that was especially from one good opening during Get On My Level. However, he still separate sets with Armada and Weston “Westballz” Dennis progressing this year during BEAST 6 even yet he was out of use due to his visa issues.
Unfortunately, we didn’t get to see Leffen play Armada again during DreamHack, yet a fact still remains: Leffen is undefeated in sets given EGLX. He might have some compare issues with Samus, yet he can go toe-to-toe with anyone in a tip five. If he can sojourn in winners joint on day 3, he has a good possibility to take Evo 2016.
The foe to Evo stays tight. Armada has a many considerable history, winning a many events. Objective rankings put Hungrybox during series one for his exquisite 2016. Mango carries a movement after WTfox, and Leffen has a terrifying X-factor after GOML. At this point, all 4 players have a ideally fathomable possibility of winning Evo.
Still, we have to go with Mango. His ability to perform on a biggest theatre gives him a graphic advantage over a competition. He already has dual Evos underneath his belt and could have done a run final year had it not been for his vicious self-destructs opposite Hungrybox. Mango has come full circle, and it’s time that he earns his third Evo trophy.
Daniel Lee is on Twitter @tafokints.